Market Bottom? | VIX Should Be 100 | Bond Market Yields Spike | Bitcoin and S&P 500 10 Day Volatility is Equal Wow!
By Derek Moore
Show Summary:
Derek Moore reviews the surge in bond yields, and why the VIX Index should have been 100-125 this week as there is a mismatch between expected volatility and realized volatility. Earnings season begins but will analysts start downgrading their S&P 500 Index forecast? Why does the market often bottom out ahead of whatever reason its scared happens. Plus, believe it or not over the past 10 days Bitcoin’s historical volatility is the same as SPY. All this and more this week.
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Topics Include:
- Bitcoin volatility vs SPY volatility
- Did the market bottom this week?
- Comparing volatility in March 2020 to tariff selloff today
- Context on how much market moved in a day to a normal year
- Intraday move was literally 2 ½ hours for a market to move 9%
- Biggest up days cluster around the biggest down days
- Bond yields surging is a problem
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gets tariffs are paused for 90 days?
- The VIX Index wasn’t pricing the crazy daily moves we’ve seen in markets
- Why investors shouldn’t panic sell
Mentioned in this Episode
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart
Contact Derek
Last Week’s Episode:
Sell Sell Sell | Tariffs | Nasdaq in Bear Market Territory | Buying Opportunity? | Don’t Make Emotional Decisions
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