It Matters When It Matters | Employment Too Good? | Interest Rate Problem? | Dollar Problem? | Earnings Still Good? | AI The 6th Great Innovation?
By Derek Moore
Show Summary:
Derek Moore is joined by guest co-host Spencer Wright to discuss the surge in bond yields, the surge in the US Dollar Index, and whether those two things might cause some near-term pain for equity markets. Plus, discussing whether AI Artificial Intelligence is a true next technological revolution and what it means for earnings. Then they talk semiconductors as the picks and shovels of AI and do some technical analysis reviewing the patterns in the S&P 500 Index, the Nasdaq 100, Semiconductors and bond yields. Oh, and there was the unemployment report that markets didn’t like in the moment as it was “too good” because does it mean the Fed is done cutting? All this and more this week!
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Topics Include:
- Bond interest rates surge as 10-year treasury hits 4.7%
- UK Gilt Bonds surge to a higher rate than when the government had to step in
- Unemployment surprises at 4.1% but market reacts negatively
- Fed rate cuts not priced in until October 29th meeting and 1 cut at that
- AI Artificial Intelligence – is it the 6th great sea change revolution?
- Semiconductors as the picks and shovels of AI
- Technical analysis triangle patters
- Technical analysis on NDX, SPX, and Semiconductors
- The trade weighted dollar index and impact to earnings due to currency exchange
- Are high rates bad or just the journey to get there first?
- Technical analysis book recommendations
Mentioned in this Episode
Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns by Thomas N. Bulkowski
Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital by Carlota Perez
Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John Murphy
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart
Contact Derek
Last Week’s Episode:
Market Pullbacks Data | Yields Keep Rising? | Forward EPS vs PE Ratio | MicroStrategy Implied Volatility | 1 Fed Cut in 2025?
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