Intra Year Drawdowns | LEI Leading Economic Indicator | VIX Index to Be Normal Soon? | Useless Fed Dot Plots
By Derek Moore
Show Summary:
Derek Moore is back to discuss markets, volatility, and the economy through the prism of intra year drawdowns, Spot VIX vs Vix Futures prices, and LEI or Leading Economic Indicator. Why are the Fed’s Dot Plots useless (still). Thoughts on the idea that Buffered strategies don’t beat the market. How different markets have performed since the first Fed rate cut in September and much more.
You can click below to listen:
Or Your Favorite Podcast App to Listen and Subscribe to Get Notified of New Episodes
The listening experience is better if you download the Spotify app, Apple Podcasts app, or your preferred podcast app and subscribe or follow so that you get each show as it is published.
Topics Include:- Since September Rate Cut Mag 7 vs SPX vs Equal Weight
- Intra Year Drawdowns vs full year return
- Comments on AQR post on Buffered funds
- VIX Index vs VIX Futures in the coming months
- AAII Bull Bear Spreads says way bearish still
- Fed dot plots
- Fed Funds Futures rate expectations
- Multiple Contraction is the reason for the drawdown not a reduction in earnings estimates
- LEI Leading Economic Indicator
Mentioned in this Episode
Conference Board Leading Economic Indicator
Federal Reserve Dot Plots Summary of Economic Projections March 2025
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart
Contact Derek
Last Week’s Episode:
Max Bearishness at a Bottom? | VIX Curve Inversion | Nvidia Rallies | Dollar Problem Solved? | Fear and Greed Index | Consumer Sentiment Indicator is Worthless
You can click below to listen: